Roubini Media Appearances and Comments on The Economy And Market Developments - A Tracking Blog
Jun 9, 2011
The Housing Market Is Already Double Dipping
“One sector of the market that is already double-dipping is the housing market, residential real estate,” he said. Before all is said and done, almost 50% percent of houses are going to be in negative equity.” - in a conference, Waldorf Astoria Hotel NYC
Jun 8, 2011
The Global Economy
“The global economy is a glass that is half full and half empty.” - in GlobeSt
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE:VXX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM)
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE:VXX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM)
Jun 6, 2011
The US Economy Is Close To Stall Speed
"US economy now close to stall speed. From anemic recovery to tipping point to stall speed and growth recession. Is a double dip next?" - in Nouriel`s Twitter
Related: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE:VXX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM)
Related: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE:VXX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM)
Jun 5, 2011
A Giant Ponzi Scheme
"Greece: throwing more good money after bad money to bail out - rather than bailing in - reckless creditors. A giant Ponzi scheme." - in Nouriel`s Twitter, June 2
Tickers: National Bank Of Greece (NBG)
Tickers: National Bank Of Greece (NBG)
Jun 3, 2011
Anemic Growth Turning Into A Double Dip?
Anemic subpar U-shaped growth becomes "soft patch" then turns into stall speed and may soon turn into a double dip. Consensus in sharp retreat. - in Nouriel`s Twitter, June 2
Related Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE:VXX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM)
Related Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (NYSE:VXX), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM)
Jun 2, 2011
As I Predicted A Week Ago...
As I predicted a week ago "Roubini Sees Stock-Correction 'Tipping Point' on Slowdown" - in Twitter
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ), Energy Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLE) Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLF), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ), Energy Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLE) Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLF), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
Jun 1, 2011
The World Economy Is Losing Strength
"The world economy is losing strength halfway through the year as high oil prices and fallout from Japan's natural disaster and Europe's debt woes take their toll.... Until two weeks ago I'd say markets were shrugging off all these concerns, saying they don't matter because they were believing the global economic recovery was on track. But I think right now we're on the tipping point of a market correction.
With slow global economic growth, they're going to surprise on the downside. We're going to see the beginning of a correction that's going to increase volatility and that's going to increase risk aversion." in "Roubini Sees Stock-Correction 'Tipping Point'", Bloomberg
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ), Energy Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLE) Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLF), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
With slow global economic growth, they're going to surprise on the downside. We're going to see the beginning of a correction that's going to increase volatility and that's going to increase risk aversion." in "Roubini Sees Stock-Correction 'Tipping Point'", Bloomberg
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ), Energy Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLE) Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLF), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
May 31, 2011
Expected Earnings, Sales And Profit Margins Are Under Squeeze
“Until now, equity prices were supported by better than expected earnings, sales and profit margins. But all three are under squeeze. With slow global economic growth, they’re going to surprise on the downside. We’re going to see the beginning of a correction that’s going to increase volatility and that’s going to increase risk aversion.” - in Bloomberg
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ), Energy Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLE) Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLF), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ), Energy Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLE) Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLF), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
We’re On The Tipping Point Of A Market Correction
Until two weeks ago I’d say markets were shrugging off all these concerns, saying they don’t matter because they were believing the global economic recovery was on track. But I think right now we’re on the tipping point of a market correction. - in Bloomberg
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ), Energy Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLE) Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLF), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
Tickers: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ), Energy Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLE) Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF) (XLF), iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
The ECB Is Overstating The Risk Of Contagion From A Restructuring Of Greek Debt
"Not only is the ECB wrong, but it hasn't even done its homework. It hasn't "presented an exhaustive analysis of the possible channels of contagion, shown history examples, nor suggested ways of preventing it." - in El Economista newspaper
Related: National bank OF Greece (NBG)
Related: National bank OF Greece (NBG)
May 25, 2011
Growth Soft Patch Is Becoming A Swamp
Alleged growth "soft patch" is becoming a swamp. Capex spending plunging. US & global growth is weakening while risk-on becomes risk-off - in Nouriel`s Twitter
Related: Related ETFs: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ)
Related: Related ETFs: ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (SDS), SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (IWM), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (EWZ)
May 23, 2011
China Is Poised For A Sharp Slowdown
"Once increasing fixed investment becomes impossible - most likely after 2013 - China is poised for a sharp slowdown." - in news.xinhuanet.com
Related: iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (ETF) (NYSE:FXI), Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund, Inc. (NYSE:CAF), PowerShares Gld Drg Haltr USX China(ETF) (NYSE:PGJ), China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (Public, NYSE:CHL), China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (ADR) (NYSE:LFC), Aluminum Corp. of China Limited (ADR) (NYSE:ACH) PetroChina Company Limited (ADR) (NYSE:PTR), China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. (ADR) (NYSE:SNP)
Related: iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index (ETF) (NYSE:FXI), Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund, Inc. (NYSE:CAF), PowerShares Gld Drg Haltr USX China(ETF) (NYSE:PGJ), China Mobile Ltd. (ADR) (Public, NYSE:CHL), China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (ADR) (NYSE:LFC), Aluminum Corp. of China Limited (ADR) (NYSE:ACH) PetroChina Company Limited (ADR) (NYSE:PTR), China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. (ADR) (NYSE:SNP)
May 21, 2011
The Programme Of Greece is Off-Track
"The programme of Greece is off-track as state asset sales won't make a dent. Even if they were to raise the 50 billion Euros over the 5 years, it wouldn't change anything. Debt restructuring isn't an alternative to austerity, it complements it." - in an interview in Milan
Related: National bank OF Greece (NBG)
Related: National bank OF Greece (NBG)
May 19, 2011
The Exchange Rates Game
In this fundamental exchange rate game, the currencies that should be appreciating are those that are undervalued with large current account surpluses.
While the ones that should be depreciating are U.S., U.K. and other countries that had their bubble, then bust, and now need net export growth, given that domestic demand is anemic with balance sheet retrenchment. - in a Bloomberg interview with Tom Keene
While the ones that should be depreciating are U.S., U.K. and other countries that had their bubble, then bust, and now need net export growth, given that domestic demand is anemic with balance sheet retrenchment. - in a Bloomberg interview with Tom Keene
May 18, 2011
DSK: In The Court Of Public Opinion He Is Now Damaged Goods.
"In the court of public opinion he is now damaged goods, even if legally he is innocent until proven guilty." - in RGE.com
May 17, 2011
Greece: A Haircut Of 20-50% Is Required To Achieve Debt Sustainability
“A haircut of 20-50% is required to achieve debt sustainability. To put things into perspective, it is worth considering the magnitude of haircut required to make debt clearly sustainable. For simplicity at this stage, we consider face-value haircuts in our debt sustainability analysis toolkit and find that a haircut of around 20% on the total stock of debt would allow Greece to achieve a debt-to-GDP ratio of 60% by 2030. This assessment is based on the macroeconomic projections in the IMF’s April 2011 WEO; however, more conservative macroeconomic projections suggest a haircut of around 50% could be necessary.” - in The PragCap
Related: National Bank Of Greece (NBG)
Related: National Bank Of Greece (NBG)
May 16, 2011
Corporate Earnings Growth Will Likely Disappoint Next Year
Corporate earnings growth will likely disappoint next year because of rising commodity prices and slower-than-expected economic growth.
Related ETF`s: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (NYSE:IWM), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (NYSE:SDS), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (NYSE:QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA)
So far things have been great. Companies have slashed costs. But on margins and sales things are going to be more difficult from here. Fifteen to twenty percent growth in earnings next year is frankly farfetched. - in the SkyBridge Alternatives Conference in Las Vegas
Related ETF`s: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (NYSE:IWM), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (NYSE:SDS), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (NYSE:QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA)
So far things have been great. Companies have slashed costs. But on margins and sales things are going to be more difficult from here. Fifteen to twenty percent growth in earnings next year is frankly farfetched. - in the SkyBridge Alternatives Conference in Las Vegas
May 12, 2011
First Quarter Growth Was A Bit Of A Disaster For US Economic Growth
The first quarter was “a bit of a disaster for US economic growth, with the 1.8 percent increase in gross domestic product well below initial forecasts well north of 3 percent. - in CNBC.com
Related ETF`s: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (NYSE:IWM), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (NYSE:SDS), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (NYSE:QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA)
Related ETF`s: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (NYSE:IWM), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (NYSE:SDS), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (NYSE:QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA)
Jobless Rate Is Heading To 9.8 percent
"The jobless rate, which recently grew to 9 percent, is likely headed for 9.8 percent in a year while economic growth will be less than 2 percent" - in CNBC
US Economy: Another Year Of Rising Unemployment
The US faces another year of rising unemployment and subpar growth as hopes for a recovery give way to a global slowdown. - in CNBC.com
Related: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (NYSE:IWM), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (NYSE:SDS), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (NYSE:QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA)
Related: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY), iShares Russell 2000 Index (ETF) (NYSE:IWM), ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (ETF) (NYSE:SDS), ProShares UltraShort QQQ (ETF) (NYSE:QID), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA)
The Periphery Of The European Union Is A Disaster
“The periphery of the European Union is basically a disaster.” - in CNBC
Related: National Bank of Greece (ADR) (NBG), Bank of Ireland (ADR) (IRE), Allied Irish Banks, plc. (ADR) (AIB), iShares MSCI Spain Index (ETF) (NYSE:EWP)
Related: National Bank of Greece (ADR) (NBG), Bank of Ireland (ADR) (IRE), Allied Irish Banks, plc. (ADR) (AIB), iShares MSCI Spain Index (ETF) (NYSE:EWP)
May 11, 2011
Is Inflation An Option To Reduce Unsustainable Debt Burdens?
Is high inflation the desirable way to reduce unsustainable debt burdens, and are policy makers likely to take that option? - in roubini.com
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